Wednesday, 18 December 2024

'Scale for scales sake,profits for God's sake'*

Many a business in the last few years, especially in the  DTC and broader start up scene worshipped at the altar of scale in the belief that it fixes all business ills and that   in extremis it can turn even  unprofitable businesses  profitable.  

The pursuit of  scale for scale's sake is, I suggest, suspect and is not  in itself a winning  strategy.

The pursuit of scale can also in some cases like food and beverage hospitality  for instance bring serious challenges to the very quality of the  offering which helped the founders make the business successful in the first place, as the restaurant  which carries the chef's name is in many cases unlikely to have said chef  in the kitchen of multiple  venues  at the same time. Being a big fish in a small pool may also be safer and more profitable than being a minnow in the ocean, not to mention the agility that smaller businesses  often have.

The survival of businesses  is not guaranteed  by size of turnover  alone , but rather by  profitability ,growth prospects and free  cash reserves. 

The publicised quest for scale has also allowed  some entrepreneurs to hide ambitions  for selling out  and making a fortune  rather than seeing their loss making but highly valued and leveraged  start up business actually  scale  and turn a profit and become financially  viable.

Seeking scale through merger  and acquisition  has also traditionally  had a mixed track record; buying market share is  not of itself  necessarily a good thing , it depends on price paid, cost of borrowings  and overall portfolio growth prospects rather than real gains in productivity and cost savings from  scaling up. The end of a decade long period of interest free risk capital  is now consigned to history  which puts more pressure on making good choices around leverage. 

 The notion of perpetual growth which is itself a core principle of  corporate capitalism is  currently  also the subject of wider discussion  under the heading of   whether degrowth is the next shiny new  thing. 

The rise in interest rates, the squeeze on disposable income  and the effects of the pandemic have inevitably also had an influence on the trajectories of many a business , but don't explain the  rise of the siren call of scale.

A little common sense  examination  suggests that scaling up when it means  increased productivity  ie producing more with the same means of production can indeed improve profitability  by reducing unit costs;  by that basic metric it should be clear that bigger is not necessarily   always better.  As an example Some high profile Restaurant chains  run by celebrities have been high profile casualties  in recent years, because the fundamental cost structures and opportunities for increased productivity  are limited. 

I'll  close by suggesting  that there are ways scaling  can help a business , both scaling up or something that is  considered less sexy  namely scaling back; the key for me is that the scaling improves unit profitability. 


Please do tell me what I've got wrong on this or any other of the marketing topics I've blogged about  , available  at : 

 fmcgbrandbuilder.blogspot.com 

 on Social media: @runsforcoffee1.bsky.social

 


* with apologies to the work of 10cc